Golf Betting Brain · @GolfBetting ·. Sep 11, mtwarrenparkgolf.com.au?hl=en mtwarrenparkgolf.com.au At Form Golfer we use in-depth analysis to make golf betting disciplined, enjoyable & profitable golf betting brain twitter our members, by providing a proven system & tips. Joe Montana attends the FanDuel Fantasy Golf Classic on July 11, in New York Michael Loccisano/Getty Images for FanDuel. Comments. Pro sports betting analyst @NBCSPhilly sportsbettingadvice #sportsbets #sportsbettingtips #sportsbet Live now on the show we have The Brain himself!
When deployed at the correct time, which is after the comeback is over, in the correct form, which is a chart , win probability has its uses. All win probability graphics, live or retrospective, are pointless for any game that doesn't have some level of comeback or lead swing. It showed that the Cardinals were favored to win, with their probability slowly climbing as the game approached the eighth inning; then, after Max Muncy's two-run homer, it swung sharply in the favor of the Dodgers.
The 35 percent probability is beaten into submission by the sheer power of Muncy's bat. There's a comeback story for you; people do so love working up righteous indignation towards numbers. Or, if it better suits your fancy, file off the title of "Cardinals-Dodgers Win Probability" and replace it with "Cardinals' fans' emotional state," and it tells that story, too. In just a couple of seconds, the chart rendered the entire existence of the live win probability graphic pointless.
Of course, there is that second reason why ESPN would embrace advanced statistics: advertising. ESPN has wholeheartedly committed to showcasing Statcast in the past, with graphics inside of the main broadcast and its own Statcast-centered broadcast, colloquially known as the Nerdcast.
ESPN will also be increasing the number of Nerdcast broadcasts this year. Of course, not every Statcast mention is just so MLB can flex its in-house technological innovations or advertise the cloud computing service that it uses. The Nerdcast broadcasts in particular are borne of a serious attempt to provide an alternative view of the game; however, it is still obvious when a Statcast graphic exists just so the commentator can say, "Statcast, powered by Google Cloud.
In the context of ESPN having access to Statcast data and a willingness to implement it, it is notable that the ESPN win probability graphic doesn't use Statcast's pre-existing win probability calculations. In the press conference where Phil Orlins, ESPN's vice president of production, announced the changes ESPN would be making to Sunday Night Baseball , he mentioned that ESPN's win probability algorithm would be created by an in-house analytics team , though one that isn't "necessarily drastically different than the ones that are out there on Baseball Savant or elsewhere.
But when explaining why ESPN was choosing to include a permanent win probability graphic in their broadcast, Orlins gestured towards a change in how people were watching sports. Take one guess as to what that change is. It's only natural that the win probability graphic is redundant to most baseball fans—ESPN is not catering to them.
ESPN is catering to people who are wagering on the outcome of a game, whose primary rooting interest is not for their favorite team to succeed or fail, but for a specific result to occur. For those sorts of viewers, the live graphic is providing a concise, relevant story: the probability, quantified, that they will win or lose their bets. Perhaps it is cynical to assert that everything is advertising, but this is a sports broadcast we're talking about, where every last inch of space, every spare second, is used to slip in just one bit of promotion: a sponsored replay, a blue-screened advertisement.
If the live win probability graphic is not another Google Cloud Statcast graphic slot, then what is it advertising. Young players, their eyes filled with the spark of ambition, find guidance and mentorship from experienced coaches. Golf betting brain twitter They hone their skills on virtual pitches, testing their mettle against opponents from far and wide.
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Published on There's a story behind the unusual drop Published on News: The stock indexes of the two cities rebounded steadily, and the real estate sector rose in the afternoon. News flash: Shanghai stock index opened 0. Gold pharmaceutical sector leads gains in Shanghai and Shenzhen market stabilization Published on There is a big conspiracy behind the small positive line, and the main funds have not flowed in significantly.
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Illegal offshore books made betting from home easier than ever before, but not as easy as it would soon become. The products they sell cross the natural rush of gambling, the social buzz of sports discourse, and the smooth ease of use of app design. Some of the things these apps do are dumb, but easy—making it easier to put money in your account than take it out, for instance.
Others are no less shady but are leveraged on other load-bearing human frailties; available bets and lines update constantly, for instance, using algorithms to adjust on the fly, which lets the apps function like an old-school Twitter feed. Standard treatment for addiction involves working with people to avoid triggering environments.
A casino on the drive home, for instance, might require a gambling addict to take another route. Most states require casinos to keep a Do Not Play list, banning anyone who comes in and confesses to a problem from the grounds. The existence of a legal pocket casino that never closes makes this more difficult. Fong told me. The companies, for their part, are feasting on whale meat.
Per the Wall Street Journal , 0. Those users were treated to free credit, and special privileges up to and including Steelers tickets. The companies are only required to ask if a user is gambling outside their means if the gambler uses certain trigger phrases, such as asking a customer service representative for a line of credit.
Fong quickly moved to temper that assessment. His hope is that these companies and the government might take all this more seriously, and look to head off addictive behavior. Rose was primed for addiction from a very young age. He was also exposed to the practice at a very young age.
Kids sometimes gambled, playing games outside that tavern. Nowadays, the job of the miserable patriarch exposing you to addictive behavior that can ruin your life is performed by gambling apps and their little army of advertisers; you can find them on TV, podcasts, and billboards in stadiums. The entire sports landscape has been transformed into an advertisement for gambling, and advertisements for gambling inevitably turn a vulnerable portion of the population into problem gamblers.
Tobacco, alcohol, cannabis, they all have very sharp rules about advertising. Fears about gamblers influencing players or the tawdry world of gambling making a notionally wholesome sports product inaccessible to children have been kicked down the trash chute. But the leagues creating a product that depends on gambling for its very existence is new. Last year, Mark Cuban sold a majority portion of the Mavericks to the Adelson family , who are the owners of the Sands Casino and some of the worst people in America.
The play was not just a cash-flow move for a leveraged billionaire. If you are a sportswriter or a fan, and your point of view is fixed on the stuff of sports, the winning and the losing and the roster construction, a neverending barrage of threats to outcomes might seem unbearably chaotic to you, an untenable state of affairs. Team owners, though, are capitalists, the most rapacious and valuation-oriented group ever to dump their money into the pocket of a year-old, and as such have different interests and concerns.
There is no reason to believe that even a steady stream of scandals would deter them until or unless it threatened their profitability.