Odds and picks for the PGA Tour Mexico Open at Vidanta, April 28th-May 1st. Jon Rahm is heavy + favorite to win the title. Golf betting from Oddschecker. Get the best golf odds pre-tournament and in-play, with expert tips and stats, plus claim golf betting wgc mexico odds offers and free bets. ODDS to Win: ; Rory McIlroy, 7/1 ; Xander Schauffele, 10/1 ; Patrick Cantlay, 16/1 ; Wyndham Clark, 16/1. Paul Williams' Tips for the WGC Mexico Championship. Follow Paul on twitter: @golfbetting · 1st, Dustin Johnson: MC/18/8/1/6/35/3/6/2/MC/3/1 · 2nd, Tommy.
What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. Golf Betting Tips Model Input up to date player and course data from the upcoming course fit manual into this interactive golf betting model.
My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats. What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting. Club de Golf Chapultepec. Course Overview. The course has a classical, old-style feel to it with its narrow, tree-lined fairways and small greens.
So a 7, yardage in reality reads sub-6, yards which makes this a course that should reap birdies and eagles for those players who can keep the ball in play from off the tee. A gentle start to the front-9 greets the players with the driveable par-4 1st hole producing 9 eagles and birdies last year. Aside from the two reachable par-5s on the back 9, the first and second hole — which is another short par-4 that requires a flick with a sand iron after a successful drive — are the easiest holes on the course.
Each of the four par-3s played over par last year with the yard 7th hole ranking 2nd overall in terms of difficulty behind the yard par-4 8th. Players who have the creativity to use the undulations on the greens to their benefit — almost Augusta-style on occasions — may well have an advantage and those who played last year will certainly have much more of an idea what to expect here this time around.
Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available. Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for Mexico City is here. Golf betting wgc mexico odds A dry event is expected with light to moderate winds at worst in the afternoons and temperatures peaking around the mid-to-high 70s Fahrenheit. Stats from the top-6 finishers last year gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this test:.
The driving distance stats in isolation are almost academic here given the altitude and the fact that driver is seldom used on this course as players seek to find position on the fairways first and foremost. Aside from the undulations, the greens themselves contain a lot of subtle movements and compared to the some of the snooker table flat greens that the professionals encounter, these are far more challenging.
Of the top 6 detailed above, players compiled their scores in a few different ways. In fairly typical fashion, eventual winner Dustin Johnson bullied the par-5s and was the only person to finish in double figures under par for the 12 looks he had at the long holes over the course of the 4 days. In stark contrast, hole leader Justin Thomas was only 2-under for the par-5s overall, whereas he was for the par 4s — clearly there are different ways to overcome this course.
Incoming Form. Looking at the same top-6 finishers from last year, all but Ross Fisher had a recent ish win on their CV, however even the Englishman had twice finished runner-up in the recent past. Coming into this event without having to endure 4 tough days at PGA National may also be of benefit to some players — indeed none of the top 6 played the weekend at the Honda Classic 12 months ago with the top 4 all resting the week before, whereas Pieters and Thomas missed the cut by 2 shots and 1 shot respectively.
Given the almost US Open-style demands of PGA National and a switch from Bermuda to Poa Annua putting surfaces, it makes a level of sense that those players in the thick of the action at the Honda could struggle immediately afterwards.