Disc golf betting odds

Our community is packed with unique sports betting bots and tools that give you the edge you need to beat the odds and make some serious cash. Whether you're an. Disc Golf Alternate Games. If you play a lot of disc disc golf betting odds course. It essentially creates a double or nothing deal by closing up the current bet and creating. Disc golf seems well on its way to increased popularity. Whether that will translate to betting on it remains to be seen. The sport has a. Campbell River Disc Golf Club is the right place to find the best golf courses and equipment, and to learn a new strategy when it comes to betting on golf.

2024 Fantasy Disc Golf Power Rankings!

To put it another way, ask yourself this question: "Could Kristin Tattar beat me over five rounds even if she spotted me five strokes. But could she beat me over five holes if she spotted me five strokes. Well — still probably yes. But it would be a lot closer. Pro disc golf, though, is still so nascent that neither division features the parity or depth approaching that of, say, traditional golf — a sport whose professional tour has existed for 93 years.

We get it, though. Still, there's plenty of evidence that Tattar is an incredibly dominant player right now, from her three Elite Series wins this year prior to Worlds to the fact that she hasn't missed a podium in more than a year Pro Worlds, 5th place. She is ranked 1 in the world, and her Dominance Index prior to Worlds was nearly twice that of her closest competitor indicating a near double head-to-head win probability.

Additionally, recall that Worlds was a five-round event. If it was only a three-round tournament, the Win Probability model would not have given Tattar such a large advantage. Now that comes naturally from the fact that she was already far outperforming the rest of the field, especially the next two tournament favorites: Tattar was 9-under par through 13, while Paige Pierce was only 3-under and Catrina Allen was 1-over.

Think about it this way: If Worlds was played times, the model thought Tattar would have won nearly 60 of those competitions. After spending mere minutes of the tournament without at least a share of the lead and then coasting to an eight-stroke victory, that feels reasonable.

Let's look at one other point-in-time projection for the FPO field: the end of round 2. Tattar was leading the tournament with Ella Hansen trailing by 2 strokes, Ohn Scoggins and Missy Gannon down by 3, and Pierce behind by 4. The short answer here is that the three remaining rounds aka an entire standard tournament!

We can illustrate this using a head-to-head simulation methodology, sampling 54 holes and spotting players strokes according to their actual positions at the end of round 2. Just to make it clear how to read the table, if you start at "Tattar" on the left and move to the right, you learn that in the position Tattar was in at the end of round 2, our model predicts she would finish ahead of Pierce The goal of UDisc's Win Probability is not to serve as a basis for gambling.

Instead, the goal is to enhance the spectator experience by providing win and other probabilities as accurately as possible. Our model is independent of human opinions we know you've got 'em , under-reactions and those , and overreactions oh, and definitely these. Still, we know how many disc golf fans like to talk about betting odds and gambling, so let's dive into it anyway.

But no sportsbook would actually give you those odds. Disc golf betting odds Why not. Remember that any sportsbook is engaging in a balancing act between core economic incentives:. To see how these incentives affect the odds presented by a sportsbook, look no further than Simon Lizotte. The German superstar and hero to all dads has won three times on tour this year, including the most recent event prior to Worlds.

He is also a generally well-liked and respected player. A bookie doing their job well would consider the popularity of a player like Lizotte Another technique that sportsbooks use to make money is the concept of incoherent odds. Go to any Tournament Winner wager on any sportsbook, and convert the odds to probabilities. The sum will always be greater than 1. You might argue that math is math, stats are stats, and any accurate winning probability model should output essentially the same results as one might find on their favorite betting site.

While the UDisc Live Win Probability model is already delivering on our goal of enhancing the spectator experience, there is always room for improvement. Here are some of the elements we'd like to incorporate and iterate on in future versions:. To elaborate on weather and course conditions, we were slightly concerned about the fact that, because Worlds was played on the same courses as the Dynamic Discs Open but that DDO had experienced winds of up to 40 mph, this might cause the model to expect that the courses would be much harder than they are in reality.

Fortunately, since everyone is playing the same courses under mostly similar conditions, this shouldn't have a big effect on pre-tournament and between-round win probabilities. However, we did see some evidence of this behavior during the middle of rounds.

In this screenshot for players on feature, lead, and chase cards, we see that before they even begin to play each round, their top 5 probability gradually drops. Both turned in very strong years and were consistent performers to merit how high I had them on my MPO board 9 and I snagged him very late and leaned on him all year. Hopefully we can get you some more sleepers for this year as well!

And sure, some of this is just bad injury luck. But we had Mandujano at 4, Pierce at 2 and Drew Gibson at Those are high rankings and it hurt your team if you listened to us. Nevertheless, at 37 he is our biggest miss and you can bet he will be higher this year. If you value a player at 5th, but think your opponents value them at 12th, then you can probably afford to draft a more coveted player, and get that player the next round.

We also gave players with sleeper tags if we think they might fall very far past their value. The MPO division is currently deeper and there is a lot more variance week to week. As a result, there are usually more MPO slots in a given league. Then, with that answer, draft accordingly at the top. For example, If you know MPO better and think you can find more diamonds in the rough on the MPO side, then maybe you should target more tried and true FPO players near the top and middle of the draft….

This year, because it is the most common and in our opinions the best format, we are mixing the MPO and FPO divisions and ranking them together. But, fear not. Reasoning and Thoughts : An average finish of 3. But I also see no reason to expect much of a drop off either. Calvin is 1 in birdie rate, in his athletic prime, super competitive and plays a lot.

Reasoning : Buhr lead the field last year in Circle 2 putting so if you are worried about him changing plastics this year, let that allay your fears. He can play for my team any day. Reasoning : Missy checked all the boxes last year. She played a ton of events, finished at or near the top in most of them, and she shows no signs of taking her foot off the brakes.

She provides consistent, weekly, high fantasy points. Reasoning : Once he got over his slow start due to Lyme disease, Wysocki was a top tier player. Her arrow could still be pointing up. Reasoning : Robinson won some very high profile events last season. The versatility mixed with the ice water in his veins, makes this a rock solid pick.

Draft Strategy : With surgery and injury concerns this is somewhat of a wildcard. Still, risk is a bit higher on this pick. Reasoning : Orum was second only behind Gannon Buhr last year in circle 2 putting. Draft Strategy : I could see her sliding in drafts because she was out of the spotlight due to injury last season.

Reasoning : Valerie showed very promising signs at the end of last season. Reasoning : Lizotte is uber-talented and deservedly loved in the disc golf community. The more he plays, the better off you are. Draft Strategy : Scoggins has a high degree of variability in any given draft.

If she slips, you could benefit. Who won heritage classic today Our only concerns are with some nagging injuries she showed signs of at the end of last year but does look to have moved past. Thank you. Reasoning : Proctor is either playing or caddying. He looks like he lives and breathes disc golf so expect him to play a lot of events.

Reasoning : Barela, has steadily improved each season and earned his status as an elite player. Is this the year he puts it all together and breaks out. It could very well be. Draft Strategy : Given his tour rank of 29, I would expect Gossage to drop a bit past his value. Reasoning : Gossage is another that seems to live and breathe the sport.

While her putting was about the same as the previous year, her top 10 finishes and podiums went up. She also plays a whole lot. Reasoning : Klein started and finished his campaign very strongly. If he plays less events like last year, his value drops. Reasoning : Harris plays a lot and cashes every event. Reasoning : Prior to her horrific injury to her ankle last year, Pierce was not off to the start she had probably envisioned though she was trending up.

Now she has an ankle injury to contend with both physically and mentally. Reasoning : If you have intel that King is going to play more, then draft her. Reasoning : Not going for a hot take here. Could he prove us wrong. I root for it. Draft Strategy : Redalen went mostly undrafted last year he was my top sleeper but he had a big year. Reasoning : Redalen looked to have unlocked a few elements of his game and it amounted to a very successful and consistent season.

We think he could slide but be a great pick. I expect him to continue this upward trend. Disc golf betting odds Reasoning : Jones put fantasy owners on a roller coaster last year. Draft Strategy : Aderhold is very popular and I doubt he slides very far in drafts. On the flip side, he cashed less. But Clemons plays a lot, and after a rough start he was pretty consistent.

Will moving sponsors gives him a jolt as well. This could be a fun upside pick. Draft Strategy : Freeman was ranked higher last year and that reputation might carry over. He could go higher than his value rank. Reasoning : I had Freeman last year and he was good when he played. If he plays more he still cashes a lot. Reasoning : Williams had a nice season with a few high profile podiums.

His average finish nearly doubled as well. If you think he steadies the ship this year, this great value. Reasoning : I drafted Weese last year and was glad I did. Draft Strategy : Ellis will go higher than his assigned value. Reasoning : Ellis is the the super-talented player that gives fantasy owners fits.

Then, obviously you put him back in and then he finishes th. She looks to have a pretty robust schedule at the start of the season and could be an excellent candidate for a later round sleeper that helps you jumpstart your scoring early in the season. Around this point in the draft but you choose for yourself!

The only question I have is availability. Otherwise, from a scoring and placing perspective, they are rock solid. Given the fact that their scheduling can be tricky to factor in, I would recommend only taking one for any given team. Draft Strategy : We bet she drops in most drafts and could be a very sneaky key for your squad. Reasoning : When we pulled up her numbers we have to admit we were surprised!

Reasoning : With 1 top 10 last season, some fantasy players might not jump at the chance to draft him. Arrow is pointing up. Reasoning : Rawnsley, a former athlete in another sport, is still relatively new to disc golf. Reasoning : Lorentzen, a decorated athlete in other sports prior to disc golf, has come onto the disc golf scene and made her stamp last year.

We see room for improvement. She showed it last season with a strong finish. And despite being European Norway she still plays a good amount of fantasy events. Reasoning : Gibson looks to be recovered from any lingering injuries and plans to play a full season. For the most part, he was more consistent than some of the numbers indicate and you should feel good about him on your fantasy squad!

Once he started rolling in April he was a must-start for most of the year. If you get similar production he could be a great find late in the draft. Draft Strategy : Look for her to slide in drafts and provide good value in later rounds. Reasoning : With all the court dates and legal distractions, Ryan clearly had a tumultuous season and it looks to have affected her scores in the events she did play last season.

Will she be able to tune out the inevitable distractions this year and return to the form Avg. Reasoning : Ananda had a stretch in the middle of the season when she got a bunch of podiums and she looked unstoppable. It was her disc golf coming out party. If you think she can return to that form and hover near it more consistently, she could add great value to your fantasy lineup.

Reasoning : Macie shared her exciting pregnancy news and we are very happy for her indeed. Reasoning : Oliva dipped a little in a lot of metrics this past season and one of them was events played. Reasoning : Oakley jumped 10 whole points in average finish from and showed a lot of consistency and rock solid scoring. There is plenty of fantasy value to be had in the table below!

Last year, James Proctor was somewhere in there as well. This might be a good list to refer to when you need a spot starter as well. Some of these players can put in some pretty high finishes and their floor is a lot higher than others in the field. He more than held his own against some thick fields. With a full year of experience under his belt, look for Scott to be in the mix again!

Last season, at age 16, she got her feet wet and only played a handful of events. She might be a year away from being a year away in terms of fantasy scoring. Keep an eye on her and add her if she starts to make a run.