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Published: 20.11.2023

British open picks to win

Rory McIlroy: + Scottie Scheffler: + Cameron Smith: + Brooks Koepka: + Viktor Hovland: +
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Open expert picks, predictions · British open picks to win -- Rory McIlroy (21/4): · Sleeper -- Min Woo Lee (): · Top 10 lock -- Scottie Scheffler (). Wells Fargo: Viktor Hovland. Byron Nelson: Tom Hoge. PGA Championship: Brooks Koepka. Charles Schwab Challenge: Tommy Fleetwood. Memorial: Shane. Adam Schupak · Collin Morikawa ; Cameron Jourdan · Rory McIlroy ; Adam Woodard · Cameron Smith ; Riley Hamel · Rory McIlroy ; Todd Kelly · Xander. Who can win? Who has the best betting value? Which props are the most interesting? Our experts look at The Open from all angles.

2023 British Open Best Bets: Expert Picks to Win the Open Championship

As a quick note, the and Opens were played as par 72s, but the PGA Tour website is listing the course as a par 71 this year. The name of the game at Hoylake has been separation. Both Woods and McIlroy won by two shots at and under respectively, but only 7 golfers were or better in , and 11 finished at or better in ShotLink data is as new as can be when it comes to The Open Championship, and we have it for but nothing else, so there is guesswork to be done.

In looking back at the and Opens, though, we see a pretty weak in-tournament correlation with most stats and stroke differential. That means there isn't a dominant stat that explained the separation at these events. Greens in regulation, scrambling, and putting were tied to scoring more than driving stats, suggesting we can downplay the driver a bit this week. These golfers have the best strokes gained averages minimum two starts over the past five majors.

Here are the most likely winners this week, according to my win simulation model, as well as their golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. We'll see where the odds for the top guys settle, yet I think they'll be factored out at their early-week numbers. Unless otherwise noted, all stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds.

References to my combo model refer to a combination of long-term, field-adjusted form, key stat performance, and hole-by-hole-level strokes gained data. Scheffler is -- by far -- the best tee-to-green golfer in the field over the past 50 rounds and is averaging more than 1. His putting th in the field is the concern. His putting splits from within 15 feet do also put him in the 15th percentile for the season, which is a concern.

But he's just so good even with an iffy putter that the floor is as high as some guys' ceilings. Fowler is 18th or better in strokes gained: approach, around the green, and putting, and he ultimately ranks 4th in the field in strokes gained: approach through putting. For what it's worth, he finished runner-up here in to Rory McIlroy.

Fowler is a 69th-percentile putter this season from within 15 feet, too, so we can trust the recent flatstick stats. Stats profile is elite. Great major player. British open picks to win He's long off the tee 9th and has top irons and is 16th in strokes gained: putting. Our betting experts give you picks to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance to cash your ticket.

And if this guy gets that portion of his game under control, look out. Matsuyama is currently 18th on tour in Strokes Gained: approach-the-green and has finished in the top-8 in Strokes Gained: tee-to-green in all three major championships this season. Our betting experts have more than just bets to win. Here are some props to target for the entire event, from tops to made cuts to tournament matchups.

One of the best links players in the entire world, Fleetwood has finished 4th, 33rd, 2nd, 12th and 27th in his past five Open starts. Skip to main content Skip to navigation. The Open Expert picks and betting tips. Indiana Fever. NHL odds to win playoffs, Stanley Cup, conference futures. Photo: british open picks to win Boston Celtics. NBA playoffs betting: Three bets for Tuesday. NBA playoffs betting: Four bets for Monday.

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After struggling with this championship for most of his career, Harman tied for 19th in and for sixth at the Old Course last year. Photo by Jared C. Schauffele is for in cuts made this season with nine tops and a solo second at the Wells Fargo Championship. Open T He closed with a 74 last week at the Genesis Scottish Open but went during the second and third rounds.

That could be huge on the greens at Royal Liverpool this week. Clearly torn here between X and Tyrrell Hatton, whose odds to win have improved in the last several days. Sleeper: After further review, Denny McCarthy seems like a solid sleeper pick. More British Open. Share this article share.