Uk open golf betting tips

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Ben Coley's golf betting tips: The Open Championship preview and best bets

And while the embryonic strokes-gained data which is being collected over there isn't yet widely available, Johnson was among the best iron players at Valderrama, and better still when ranking second at Centurion. That and the fact he's fifth for greens and first for birdies is further evidence that he's playing to a standard which suggest he shouldn't be forgotten about at twice the price of Smith and close to that of Koepka's.

Forced to choose among those at the front of the betting I'd edge towards Scheffler, whose strength off the tee is almost as much about how accurate he is as it is his power. He's had two nice Open primers, including when on the fringes of contention at Royal St George's and close enough at St Andrews, and his form throughout has been extraordinary.

But while this week's forecast suggests members won't get their wish, which is to see the world's best battle strong winds whipping through the Dee estuary, there's enough breeze in the forecast to enforce the most basic of Open rules: bet each-way, eyes wide open to the possibility that any player can be blown off course if finding themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time.

Spieth could reasonably claim to be the best Open Championship player in this field, perhaps with the exception of McIlroy and one or two veterans, having made the cut on all nine appearances dating back to his debut. Fourth in paved the way for his thrilling victory at Birkdale two years later, and he was favourite and hole leader when defending that title at Carnoustie before settling for ninth.

On course to place again in , another poor final round saw him fall to 20th, but he's been back on track with second and eighth in the last two years. The swing that began one of the most dramatic sequences in golfing history. Plot these finishes alongside his overall form, and those Sunday struggles at Carnoustie and Portrush begin to make sense.

He'd gone MC-MC in then MC in , so while he didn't quite see things through it was in fact a return to Open conditions which sparked significant improvement during two years of general struggle. Since returning to winning ways in April he's been a factor in both renewals, forcing Morikawa to dig deep at Royal St George's to give us that potentially correlating form line, and then staying on at the Old Course.

Of those currently on the Open rota, I would argue that St Andrews suits him least of all despite almost winning there once. With his credentials under these conditions established and an encouraging first try here in , the questions are more around his form and his health, both of which carry some uncertainty.

That said, he missed the cut by one in the US Open after he'd been fifth in the Memorial, was fourth in the Masters, and has six top-six finishes in 14 starts since February. It's been a feast-or-famine year which continued with a missed cut in the Scottish Open, but perhaps 27 holes on Tuesday at least tells us his wrist is fine while also undermining his prospects once the tournament began.

In the end, a second-round 69 was a step in the right direction and came despite the fact his putter remained cold. And while it's true that Smith had been 10th in the Scottish Open before winning, and Phil Mickelson captured both titles, that doesn't tell the whole story. Trends tend to focus on winners but Young went from shooting to almost winning the Open and I don't think Spieth will feel like his preparation has been lacking.

I'd rather focus on the fact that this championship so often goes to a player with magic hands and a creative mind, which explains why for Spieth it's been the one major in which he's always produced. Backing him to do so again is an easy enough decision at the odds, which are notably bigger than was the case in both and Partly, this reflects the fact that the Scottish Open felt like it could easily have been the Open itself.

So many of the best links or seaside golfers in the game came to the fore, so many prospective Open winners seeming to enhance their claims. Broadly speaking, those who played well there have since hardened, those who didn't have drifted. My natural inclination is to lean towards those whose prices are getting bigger and it's why I was very close to siding with Patrick Cantlay, who like Spieth stepped forward last Friday.

In a sense that raises concerns over his long-game as he finished just outside the top 10, but to me it felt like he might've discovered the missing piece of the jigsaw ahead of his long-term target. Winner in stunning fashion at Portrush, Lowry has since confirmed himself a superb majors golfer, contending for the Masters in and generally producing something approaching his best.

All told he has 10 top finishes in 14 starts as a major champion, his current run standing at five and including the Open, where he's been 12th and 21st. Uk open golf betting tips Lowry was also ninth here in , his first top in a major championship. He closed with a round of 65, one of just four players to shoot seven-under all week Hoylake played to a par of 72; the 10th has now been changed to a par four , and played beautifully as the world number 68 who had prepared similarly in Scotland.

Enjoyed my week in Scotland, some decent golf along the way too. Congrats McIlroyRory on your win. His scrambling stats for the year are down on but he's been improving lately and gained more than 10 strokes with his short-game and putting last week, having arrived at The Renaissance with his driving and approach work having underpinned a run of four tops in five which now reads five in six.

Although Sunday's bogey-bogey start meant any hope of winning soon disappeared, it was in some ways reminiscent of his Irish Open performance four years ago, where he started well, stalled thereafter, but arrived at the Open feeling like he might well have timed things perfectly. So it proved, and it would not surprise me to see him emulate his friend and mentor Padraig Harrington by becoming a two-time Open champion.

He does though seem set to go really well and let's not forget that when he wins, he wins big, which does give him the edge over plenty of others in this price range. England's search for another Open winner has gone on far too long and this is a great chance for Tommy Fleetwood or Tyrrell Hatton to end it, especially the former whose caddie knows this course perhaps even better than he does.

Fleetwood has been banging loudly on the door all year and while short enough in the market, that reflects his reliability. He would make a fine Open winner and is more than capable. Rose in particular made some appeal as his experience counts for plenty in this, as does his scrambling, and 10 years on from becoming the first Englishman in an age to win the US Open, perhaps he can end another long drought.

Max Homa and Wyndham Clark add depth to the US challenge, Justin Thomas remains on my radar even if he isn't on yours and five of Tony Finau's 10 major tops came amid a poor run of form. Speaking of Finau, Homa and Clark, one of the best pointers towards any major winner, but particularly this one given its place in the calendar, has been a victory earlier that year.

It has applied to every Open champion since bar Els and Zach Johnson, both already major champions, and would've helped point towards Oosthuizen, Clarke and Lowry at relatively big prices. He has to be respected as a place candidate having been 12th at the US PGA, while Matt Wallace drove it much better and shot a second-round 65 to make the cut last week and he too has won in the wind in It's been a fine season for Canadian golf in general with Nick Taylor another for whom a case be made winning their national championship after Mackenzie Hughes and Conners himself had won titles of their own, and Brooke Henderson kicked off with a victory on the LPGA Tour, too.

Conners' win came in Texas thanks to a typically assured ball-striking display and he's been generally excellent since. Most notable of course was a contending 12th at the US PGA, where he was in front prior to a late disaster in round three, while more recently he has three tops in his last four starts. One of them came last week, where he shot 65 in round two and 66 in tough conditions on Sunday, a performance not dissimilar to that produced by Cam Smith a year ago.

They are though very different golfers and the main worry with Conners, second in fairways up in Scotland, is that his short-game is not as sharp as is typically required to win this. He is though a viable candidate to lead the ball-striking stats for the week and he putted very well on Sunday, where he ranked inside the top 10 in driving, approach play and putting to improve massively on previous finishes of MC at the same course, and if that's the case perhaps chipping is an issue he can overcome.

He's shown more than once now that he can adapt to these slow, links greens, putting much better than he often does at St Andrews last year, while back in he was right in the mix entering the final round at Royal St George's. Though ultimately fading, it means he arrives here looking for his third Open top in succession.

Outside of the US Open, a tournament in which he always struggles, Conners in fact has seven major tops in 10 over the last three years and this languid throwback may be best suited to an Open Championship. Given his form coming in and the fact he's felt what it's like to be in contention at a recent major, he's a great each-way option at a big price.

Prior to that, Matsuyama had been 13th in the Travelers to extend a run of good form which dates right back to fifth place at Sawgrass. In eight stroke play starts from one to the other, only once did he finish outside the top 30, and that by a single stroke when ranking 65th in putting at the US Open.

In fact Matsuyama's majors in have all been frustratingly similar. He was 16th in the Masters when producing a top-five tee-to-green display, 29th in the PGA when ranking eighth in that department, and 32nd in the US Open when ranking sixth. He's the only player in the sport bar Scheffler to have ranked inside the top 10 in all three.

Now if all this sounds oh so very Matsuyama, that's fine, but not for a very long time has he been this kind of price. His record in it is good, albeit the pick of his form is dated, with sixth on debut in , 39th when teeing it up here, 18th at St Andrews and then 14th at Birkdale. Since then he's not been a factor, but few have flawless records in the Open and the pick of his form is excellent, as you'd expect from a master scrambler who flushes it and has won the Masters, which asks some similar questions in a different way.

Matsuyama's scrambling stats for this season are again second only to Scheffler among the elite golfers in this field and while yes he remains a health risk, and yes he could have another shocker with the putter, both are accounted for in the odds.

His fitness does appear to be improving and I'd note that he's putted well several times this season including either side of the US Open last month. Value-wise, I just can't leave out a player who not only has the back class, but whose recent play is of a far higher standard than the odds suggest.

Over the last 36 rounds Matsuyama is 17th in strokes-gained total, splitting Smith and Fitzpatrick, with Rose just behind. He should be no bigger than 66s to follow Zach Johnson's lead and double his major tally. Kirk has a dynamite short-game, ranking 14th in strokes-gained around the green, but in truth every aspect of his game has fired this year.

Though by no means a long driver he's gained strokes off the tee, he's 53rd in putting, and his iron play remains of a top standard which makes him among the top 20 percent on the PGA Tour. He showcased his scrambling skills when 19th on his Open debut here at Hoylake, shooting across the weekend, and following a couple of narrow missed cuts did well to climb from th after day one to a respectable share of 42nd at the far less suitable St Andrews last July.

Since then Kirk has been 23rd in the Masters and 29th in the US PGA, performances similar to those he'd produced prior to coming here in , and he's been back to form of late with finishes of 14th and 21st on the PGA Tour including when seeing his travelling housemate Sepp Straka capture the John Deere Classic. It's easy to underestimate form in these very different US events but they were a fine way for Francesco Molinari to prepare, ditto Spieth and Zach Johnson, but the form line I really like comes from February when Kirk won the Honda Classic at the expense of Eric Cole.

Fleetwood could've won it in as could Mackenzie Hughes, who contended for the Open in , while Lowry was close to doing so in It's always been a really good pointer towards golfers who can cope with tough, breezy conditions, and we saw further evidence of that through Cole, Brian Harman, Ben An, David Lingmerth and more last week in Scotland.

Kirk is ranked 40th in the world having been up to 32nd following that play-off success and he's a tough, experienced player, with a fine short-game, some course form, and a chance of squeezing into the money after preparing with some links golf at West Lancs on Sunday. While that was happening, while players not involved in the Scottish Open completed their own preparations, McIlroy somehow did the one thing that could further enhance the sense that this might be where he finally gets his fifth major.

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