I'm John, giving you tips on PGA Tour and DP Tour, ROI for both Tours What are they going to say now. Wednesbury Born December 2 Joined June See the latest Golf US Masters betting tips and previews from the expert tipsters here at Betfair™! ✓US Masters ✓US Masters Tips ✓Golf Betting. How to claim your FREE £10 bet Total driving (distance and accuracy) is still key but the fairways are golf betting tips 2018 of widest the US Open has ever. Betting Tips: The Good Outside Bets Noren missed the cut last year, but the Swede has come close to victory on three occasions on the PGA Tour.
Course Overview. The fairways themselves are quite narrow though and attacking from the cut and prepared is likely to be preferable, particularly with recent sunshine and thunderstorms having given the rough a helping hand. Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here.
As always you can build your own model using the variables available. Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for Brescia is here. Analysing the final stats of the top six finishers here in gives us a little more insight into the type of player suited to this test:.
Although moderate hitters Colin Montgomerie and Simon Khan finished in the top 6 here 15 years ago, the other 4 players ranked inside the top of Driving Distance on the week and Ricardo Gonzalez topped the list at yards average. That length from the Argentinean was tempered by a dire accuracy stat for the week though as he hit just 16 of 56 fairways on the week.
Eventual winner Mathias Gronberg produced the best GIR performance of the week and for me a powerful player who can hit a lot of greens either from on or off the fairway may well be the best combination here this time around. One other factor that was evident from that event here was that par-5 scoring was particularly important:.
The heavy bias towards par-5 scoring extended far beyond those at the very top of the leaderboard and the ability to score heavily on the long holes — be that birdies or preferably eagles — was massively important back in The re-routing of the course and switch from the short par-5 11th hole to a long par-4 now the 2nd hole will likely temper this statistic, however scoring on the remaining par-5s may well still prove to be critical here this week.
Incoming Form. Event Form. With a lack of immediate course history and a change in routing since that distant Italian Open held here in , evaluating exactly how this week will play out still requires an element of guesswork. A mixed weather pattern for the last few weeks in Italy will have encouraged the rough to grow, however historically this event has tended to be set up in a scoreable fashion as opposed to making the rough too thick and penal.
Sparse course experience levels the playing field to a degree and for me this could lead to a slightly less obvious winner than those at the very top of the betting. Francesco Molinari heads the betting this week and quite rightly so given his metronomic performance at Wentworth where he held off the challenge of Rory McIlroy with whom he started the final day alongside at under.
All that changed though as he essentially leapfrogged the second tier by winning the Open de Portugal on a parkland track new to most of the field which earned him immediate promotion to the European Tour and the 28 year-old has barely looked back since. Clearly achieved at a lower grade, the Londoner managed to rattle off a record 6 victories in at that level, 3 of which were on Italian soil including the Grand Final itself and he clearly feels comfortable in the surroundings.
Many a shrewd judge has Erik van Rooyen earmarked for bigger and better things and his rookie European Tour season is ticking along very nicely as he sits 40th in the Race to Dubai at present courtesy of a runner-up finish behind Shubhankar Sharma at the Joburg Open, a 7th place finish in Morocco and a 20th place finish last week on his Wentworth debut.
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