Betting picks · Winner: Justin Thomas (+) – As crazy as it sounds, these are the odds for the third favorite. · Top Hideki Matsuyama (+). Xander Schauffele () · Max Homa () · Russell Henley () · Shane Lowry () · Adam Hadwin () · Brendon Todd () · Alex Noren ( Justin Thomas, Si Woo Kim, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Shane Lowry, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Jason Day, Adam Scott. Players Championship best bets players championship guide: 8 picks our gambling expert loves · Xander Schauffele () · Max Homa () · Russell Henley () · Shane.
The par-5s at TPC Sawgrass average only yards in length. It is here where scoring becomes crucial as three of them are reachable in two shots. Water is present on holes 9, 11 and 16, which requires players to find the fairway with the driver to have any chance of successfully going for the green. Overall, the four par-5s have a Birdie or Better rate of Each of the last four Players winners ranked sixth or better for Strokes Gained: Approach during their respective winning weeks.
Since the move from May to March in , TPC Sawgrass has had the third-fewest drives of over yards largely because of cooler air and softer fairways. Big numbers lurk with the tight lines off the tee, the water hazards and the rough. While big scores lurk out at TPC Sawgrass, there are opportunities to shoot low scorers if you keep the ball in play.
Scrambling percentage is around 19 percent less here at TPC Sawgrass compared with tour average. TPC Sawgrass is one of the more difficult courses on tour to gain strokes around the greens due to misses on approach ending up in unpredictable lies, plus longer rough, short grass and bunkers.
Five of the par-4s at TPC Sawgrass measure between yards including three of the last five holes on the golf course. The par-5s are on the shorter side here yard average and three of the four are reachable for everyone in two shots. These holes are must birdies. The greens at TPC Sawgrass are fast and full of undulations.
These are Poa greens, but a much less bumpy Poa that we see primarily on the west coast. The form is a bit erratic here like it is for every player, but he finished runner-up on debut here in It is highly difficult to find consistent form at The Players and doing so is a futile effort, but Homa has finishes of 13th and sixth over the last two years at Sawgrass.
Both courses are strongly correlated to TPC Sawgrass. Henley missed the cut here on debut in but has since gone on to record four tops, including in each of the last two years. Scheffler gained more than 4. The second-best player on the PGA Tour is closer Rory McIlroy to the 20th-best player than he is to Scheffler when it comes to ball striking this year.
With so many low-priced values this week, you have to play Scheffler pretty heavily. He finished T12 at the Arnold Palmer but looked a lot better than that for most of the tournament. Best bets players championship He has lost over 1. He bounced back with a solid round on Sunday and finished T4 to build on his great run of form. He gained more than 3 strokes on approach and putted well.
He has gained over 1. He has gained over 3. He gained over 6 strokes on approach at Bay Hill after gaining over 3. He has lost 1. He lost over 8 strokes on the green at Bay Hill and still finished with a top finish. Kim has gained strokes off the tee in every tournament since early August He has made eight straight cuts despite losing strokes with the putter in seven out of eight of them.
He has struggled a bit with consistency this year but looked good at Bay Hill gaining over 5. He has gained 3. I believe he will bounce back this week and he will be in play among the others priced close by. He has gained strokes on approach in five out of his last six tournaments, and he has gained off the tee in two straight.
He has two top-six finishes in the calendar year already. He has three straight top finishes and he has gained over 10 strokes combined off the tee in those tournaments. He gained over 8 strokes on approach in Mexico, but he forgot to pack his short game for that particular tournament. He has gained strokes off the tee in five straight tournaments and he has gained strokes on approach in five out of his last seven tournaments.
Joining the league is simple. Just click here to sign up or log in. Golfbet experts longshot: Expert Picks. Betting picks. Five tops in his last eight starts here, including three tops, show that he can thrive at TPC Sawgrass. One of only four players to make the cut all four years since the tournament shifted to March in Ranked eigth in SG: Tee-to-Green this year.
Cantlay feels like the opposite. That will eat at him.