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That is a generic answer that gives us a broad spectrum to dive into for book-specific matchups. However, my model believes that Shane Lowry is grading as one of the most overpriced options on the board because of his recent victory at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans with Rory McIlroy. As someone who is always cautious when markets overreact to a single performance, I see an additional red flag in this situation.
Shane Lowry's victory was undeniably impressive, but it was largely a result of Rory McIlroy's stunning Sunday performance, which propelled their team across the finish line. Lowry has not landed in the top 20 of this tournament in five career attempts, and his Expected Strokes Gained Total output which ranks 63rd out of 69 players couldn't surpass the quality returns he did possess when faced with long and challenging tracks.
My favorite route to take is backing Ashkay Bhatia if you have access to that wager at your shop, but I found most fade routes worth the investment. The best North Carolina sports betting apps are now live. Learn more and register for the best bonus offers. What do we know about Cameron Young. He is one of the best total drivers on The PGA Tour and has done everything but win a golf tournament in his very short career.
The funny thing about that label is that you simply do not get that label if you are not an elite golfer who gets himself into the mix so often. No one is calling Nick Hardy a loser who is from the same class as Young and has accomplished a fraction of what Young has. Either way, Young is an elite talent but he truly does struggle under the gun on Sundays. We are getting plus money on a top 20 for him in a limited field on a golf course that suits him perfectly.
His driver, which ranks 11th in Total Driving this season, will set him apart, and even if he is not clicking elsewhere, he should have enough in the tank to finish in the top He has gained total strokes in eight of his past nine PGA Tour events, finishing inside the top 10 twice in that span. Scott has been bombing off the tee, gaining distance on the field in each of his past seven tournaments and was most recently fourth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee this past weekend in Dallas at the Byron Nelson.
Aside from the par-5s, there are four par-4s at yards or longer, so Quail Hollow is a big, long course. The fairways run at a The renovations also entailed a changing of greens surfaces from MiniVerde Bermudagrass to Champion Bermudagrass overseeded with Poa Trivialis. The greens will be fast, running at on the stimpmeter and measure out to an average size of 6, square feet 17th largest of 44 courses on tour.
A SubAir system below the greens firms them up to play tougher on the weekend. Shots can frequently find the water over this stretch. Pga betting picks In fact, more than 1, of them have found the drink over the last 20 years. There are 61 big bunkers on the course that mostly protect the greens, and water is in play on six holes. Even with all the renovations, Quail Hollow is a typical Carolina, tree-lined design.
The three par-5s Holes 7, 10 and 15 plus the two short par-4s 8 and 14 are the scoreable holes. Driving Distance has proven to be a strong indicator here all but one winner since has ranked in the top 15 in Driving Distance in their last 36 rounds leading into the tournament.
While the tee to green is fairly straightforward at Quail Hollow, the green complexes are tricky. A tough course and a deep field could make this a tricky tournament for long shots to win, but if you whittle it down to just one round, then the variance increases and you can start to make some cases for some players down the board.
But more specific for this market is the fact that Lowry has made a habit of getting off to hot starts in ; only three players have a better Round 1 scoring average than Lowry this season. The Irishman has the upside to win this tournament, so I will back him to lead the field after 18 holes. As usual, things have been up and down for Emiliano Grillo in , but the Argentine does have some strong results.