Golf tips, best bets and player analysis for LIV Golf Jeddah at Royal Greens Golf Club · When to bet · Where to watch Golf betting tips sporting life saudi Golf Jeddah · Steve. Golf Betting System has full coverage with US Masters tips Undoubtedly Jon Rahm was mentally rested and in the form of his life driving down Magnolia. LIV Golf Adelaide betting tips · Joaquin Niemann to win and each-way @ 10/1 · Paul Casey to win and each-way @ 25/1 · Richard Bland to win and each. Ben Coley's golf betting tips Last time out the former UNICEF ambassador lost a play-off on the Saudi Sporting Life Football logo. Facebook.
It's not an ideal course for Piercy, whose best effort is 22nd, but right now he's in a better place than his playing partners. He played nicely in the Honda Classic a fortnight ago, too, and that's ultimately why I can just about avoid opposing him despite a missed cut at Bay Hill and the likelihood that he is caught out on his Sawgrass debut.
With Smotherman badly out of sorts and also appearing here for the first time, it's Shelton who I like. He's also making his debut in the event but knows the course well, having won the junior equivalent and played several rounds here in the past. He's a dynamite putter who extended a run of good form by outplaying Lee last week, and under these conditions, at this time, he's the one to beat.
With a flat forecast for Thursday's first round, any inclination to try the first-round leader market in one of the most competitive tournaments of the year is pretty easy to overcome on this occasion. Lightning probably won't strike thrice, but it is worth tapping into not just a strong record on Thursday but at Sawgrass as a whole — he boasts the best adjusted scoring average in the field among those to have played in The PLAYERS more than once.
Putting concerns are enough to keep me from siding with him outright or to beat some better-fancied compatriots, but Fleetwood can outscore playing partners Taylor Pendrith and Callum Tarren with little fuss. Pendrith's scoring average is in fact the best in the field because he played well 13th on his debut here. However, he returns with his driver having been poor all year, which is a big issue given that it's typically the most reliable club in his bag.
The Canadian shot last week and looks to be struggling, as is Callum Tarren whose last eight rounds have all been over-par, including a second-round 80 at Riviera. This is his course debut and it comes at a bad time. Bored of reading my previews. Why you can listen to me say things instead, alongside SarahSkySports and DaveTindallgolf for the first of many in Odds-against about in-form Keith Mitchell, a player of serious quality who is finally realising it, immediately stood out — but on closer inspection his draw comes with some risks I'm not quite prepared to take.
Mitchell's sole win came under tough conditions here in Florida, he's best on bermuda, and he's broken par in three of his four opening rounds at Sawgrass. Like Fleetwood, he's a compelling first-round leader candidate with a best of 65 at the course, and he was an excellent 13th in last year's renewal. There are lots of reasons to be hopeful, but both Brendon Todd and Michael Thompson have flashes of form here, they're accurate off the tee and, most troublingly of all, each of them can light up the greens.
I'd be confident Mitchell finishes ahead of both this week, but far less so over 18 holes. Fowler was in my staking plan last week and showed up well early on. Despite failing to build on that promising start, there's no reason to abandon the view that he's firmly on the comeback trail.
His work with Butch Harmon has paid off quickly, and a return to the world's top 50 is imminent. However, it's worth stressing that even at his world-class best, Fowler's record at Sawgrass is quite dramatically inferior to Scott's. Golf betting tips sporting life saudi He's been first and second of course, but the rest of his efforts amount to very little, and he's often been unable to recover from slow starts which have been common.
Since , when they first played this event together, Scott leads the head-to-head That includes each of the last five and not once during this spell has it been close. Round-by-round, Scott leads with three ties, and in round one he's outscored Fowler seven times in Having finished alongside each other in 31st at Bay Hill, I don't think there's a great deal between these two, but Scott's superior Sawgrass record suggests he's the value play here.
He's also been starting brightly of late, with par-or-better opening rounds on every start since the Memorial Tournament last June. Given that this run includes two majors and a typically strong schedule, it's a seriously impressive run. It's not that I'm dead against Fowler, but there's a small edge to be had in backing a player who might just be a step ahead around here.
Taking on Joel Dahmen around here isn't necessarily the most obvious move, given that he's broken par in seven of his 10 rounds. That's a serious record and his accuracy off the tee and preference for something tricky makes Sawgrass a somewhat obvious fit.
Svensson makes his debut in the event at a good time, as he's putting with confidence and his long-game has improved throughout his last three starts. He played really well at Riviera, showed plenty when fancied in the Honda, and four solid rounds for 24th place last week were a continuation of that. Robert Streb on the other hand has missed his last eight cuts and is on a run of five here at Sawgrass, where 13 of his 14 rounds have been plus.
It's a bad course for a struggling player and in what's a match, taking Svensson at odds-against holds plenty of appeal. We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to overs and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
Further support and information can be found at begambleaware. Sporting Life. Horse Racing. Tips Centre. Free Bets New. The trouble is, all things may not be equal. Right now, the weather forecast for this part of Saudi Arabia suggests the wind will come, and probably midway through Friday's play.
Banking on a hour wind forecast is far from a flawless idea, but all negatives have to be considered when supporting short-priced golfers. Johnson has the AM-PM draw which could face markedly tougher conditions during the second round and this seems the best way to cut through the world-class players who shape this tournament, among whom surely lies the champion.
Second-favourite Xander Schauffele is also out early, and both Tyrrell Hatton and Cameron Smith, who have a better set of tee-times, are up against it on this long course which has favoured big-hitters more significantly than virtually any other so far. Year one saw Johnson beat Hao-tong Li and Tom Lewis, the former making four eagles in one round to demonstrate that driving par-fours is a frequent option for a select few.
The fly in the ointment is the edition won by Graeme McDowell, because that's the one which featured a persistent breeze, and we should get something like that throughout the weekend whatever happens on Friday. Nevertheless, big-hitters swarmed around McDowell late on, and the former US Open champion needed all of his nous and short-game skills to fend them off.
He simply looks an outlier, and though Smith and Hatton are both capable of emulating him, the percentage call looks to stick with those with more at their disposal from the tee. Mickelson was third here behind McDowell and though he's very much one who plays the game from a media perspective, his comments on the course have never wavered.
After his very first round at Royal Greens, Mickelson spoke of how much fun it was to play; how difficult conditions still allowed you to attack in places, and how undulating greens and a sea breeze spoke to his creativity. His form prior to that event had been poor, and until he calls time on his PGA Tour career it will always be worth remembering that when conditions suit, Mickelson can conjure something magical from seemingly nowhere.
It's what he did at Kiawah Island, and it's what he almost did here, in , when following a pair of missed cuts in the US with third place in this more relaxed setting, with a smaller and weaker field and a course which encourages attacking golf. Two years on and he again comes to the Middle East after a poor start to the campaign, but just as was the case back then, he's been talking a good game.
Mickelson got off to a solid start under lower-scoring conditions last year before fading at the weekend and though there are few positives to be drawn from his play lately, we're compensated by a massive price. Remember, he won the PGA at similar odds; this is far weaker, the field is far smaller, he has shown what he can do at the course and, crucially, he might just be on the right side of a significant draw bias.
With all of those factors in mind, the risk that he shoots himself out of it in a few holes on Thursday afternoon seems more than acceptable. He simply cannot have the same chance as Ratchanon Chantananuwat, Sihwan Kim and Andrew Dodt, and is backed accordingly. He has all the power and all the creativity required and tees off alongside Smith, just after Mickelson, on Thursday afternoon.
Not only are they out early on Friday, but significantly so: Mickelson will be out in the third group to go. That said, his driving so far this year has been alarmingly poor, barely gaining strokes last week having ranked a lowly 33rd in Hawaii, and there are also fitness concerns to factor in. Given that he's not yet proven to be totally adept in the sort of wind we might see at the weekend, it's difficult to have faith in him upping his game as required.
Fleetwood was a huge eye-catcher in Dubai last week, for all his final round did not go to plan as he dropped to 12th, the product perhaps of some in-contention rust. Still, the big picture is that he led the field in strokes-gained approach for the first time since the Portugal Masters a correlating event , producing some of the best figures of his career, and at last married up the driver, too.
Fleetwood has built his career on that club and in ranking eighth in Dubai, did enough to suggest that it is back close to where he needs it to be. Only in the Dunhill Links at St Andrews did Fleetwood produce such an excellent off-the-tee display in , a year plagued by an apparent two-way miss which saw his main strength become a weakness. There was even more substance to his effort in Dubai, where he led the field in strokes-gained tee-to-green, and it was clear throughout that he was greatly encouraged by his play but felt he wasn't quite scoring as he ought to.
Again, that might reflect the fact he's seldom been in the mix, second place in Italy the exception and a performance which depended on his putter. Expect better when next he finds himself on the first page of the leaderboard and it could be here, where he struck his irons nicely on his sole visit to date but wasn't driving the ball well enough and suffered too around the greens.
A year on and with the weekend winds sure to suit, this becomes an ideal challenge for a player who is edging back towards his best. Pieters put behind him a poor record in the Dubai Desert Classic with another rounded performance and his record here is very strong, finishes of 22nd, third and 10th largely undermined by the sort of poor putting which might just be a thing of the past.
His looks a massive chance but I can let him go at the odds. Matt Wolff, Lucas Herbert, Paul Casey and Sergio Garcia are other long drivers who fit the bill in terms of draw and skill set, but the first two haven't hit the ball well enough over the last few weeks and both Casey and Garcia are what they are. With the winner firmly expected to come from towards the top of the betting, and potential fliers Adri Arnaus and Laurie Canter both out late on day two, I'm content with just two outright selections.
There might however be some mileage in the first-round leader market, won by Pieters in , shared by McDowell and Gavin Green in , and then blown apart by Dave Horsey's brilliant 61 last year. Three of the four teed off early, McDowell again the exception to the rule, and the first three last year were all from the morning wave. As of now there is a moderate breeze forecast for day one but it is due to increase steadily as the day goes on, and this half of the draw may realise they'll need to capitalise on a calm morning before things get tougher on Friday.
Hend plays with Green and James Hart du Preez in a three-ball of obscene power, the latter one of if not the longest-hitting professional on a major circuit but yet to show he can harness that strength at this kind of level. Green has an excellent course record but the, ahem, green shoots of recovery we saw towards the end of have since disappeared, although his first-round 66 in Portugal third does offer some hope that he can produce for 18 holes as he did here with a fabulous 64 in It's Hend who I prefer of this group, after he carded a round of 63 to climb more than 60 places on the leaderboard in the second round here on debut.
The popular Aussie is blessed with fast hands and real power, and with seven of his eight rounds here having been under-par, he's put it to use at Royal Greens. The concern is his ongoing health issues which contributed towards a withdrawal in Abu Dhabi, though he did hit the ball better despite a narrow missed cut in Dubai and could build on that, and a pair of late-year tops in Asia, when he tees off on Thursday morning.